6 Oct · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1438
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1601
FormWWLWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)