6 Oct · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1413
FormLLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Smolka
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1527
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H46-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-35)