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06 Oct · 16:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1581
3-1Final setsTkocz won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1427
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 66%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 64% → final 95%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts70 points · 4 games