6 Oct · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1530
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1581
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
🌟Koczyba rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (17)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H27-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)