6 Oct · 20:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1494
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1581
FormWLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H29-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-3)