6 Oct · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1530
FormLWWWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Koczyba
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1265
FormLLLWL
76%
24%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+265
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+265)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)