6 Oct · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1445
FormLWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Myszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1286
FormLLWWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)