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06 Oct · 19:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1321
3-0Final setsRolak won
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1264
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 54%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kuba Golaszewski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 78.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kuba Golaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kuba Golaszewski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Kuba Golaszewski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 51% → final 95%
Kuba Golaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts46 points · 3 games