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06 Oct · 18:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1361
3-0Final setsSkorski won
DSDariusz Szlubowski
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1418
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szlubowski at 58%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Szlubowski favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 74.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Szlubowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Szlubowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
11
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Szlubowski.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 45% → final 97%
Dariusz Szlubowski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsSkorski recovered from 37%66 points · 3 games