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06 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1500
2-3Final setsJurowicz won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1420
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 60%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 73.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 64% → final 25%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 48 ptsJurowicz recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games