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06 Oct · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1264
3-1Final setsGolaszewski won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1321
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 55%. The actual result was Kuba Golaszewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kuba Golaszewski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 78.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kuba Golaszewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kuba Golaszewski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 48% → final 4%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts46 points · 3 games