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06 Oct · 21:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1368
1-3Final setsMrugala won
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1356
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 52%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
76 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 56% → final 5%
Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼
Biggest swing 51 ptsMrugala recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games