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06 Oct · 22:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1420
3-2Final setsJurowicz won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1325
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jurowicz at 59%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Jurowicz favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Jurowicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Jurowicz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 56% → final 96%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsJurowicz recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games