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← TT Elite Series predictions
06 Oct · 23:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1264
2-3Final setsMrugala won
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1356
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 58%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 38% → final 4%
Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games