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07 Oct · 00:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1356
3-1Final setsMrugala won
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1440
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 60%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Myszewski favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 74.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adrian Myszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Myszewski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Adrian Myszewski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 43% → final 97%
Adrian Myszewski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsMrugala recovered from 35%68 points · 4 games