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07 Oct · 00:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1589
0-3Final setsAdamus won
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1508
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 61%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tkocz favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 72.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tkocz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Adamus.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 58% → final 3%
Mariusz Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsAdamus recovered from 42%48 points · 3 games