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07 Oct · 04:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1335
2-3Final setsWisniewski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1341
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 53%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 72.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wisniewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wisniewski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 50% → final 11%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsWisniewski recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games