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07 Oct · 04:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1535
1-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1285
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 74%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sulkowski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 73% → final 98%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 32 pts69 points · 4 games