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07 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1390
3-2Final setsKaczmarek won
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1468
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Idaczyk at 57%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Idaczyk favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 75.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Idaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Idaczyk −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Rafal Idaczyk.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 46% → final 48%
Rafal Idaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games