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07 Oct · 06:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1535
3-0Final setsSulkowski won
JLJakub Lamperski
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1546
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lamperski at 53%. The actual result was Bartosz Sulkowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Lamperski favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 73.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Lamperski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Lamperski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
12.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Lamperski.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 50% → final 99%
Jakub Lamperski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsSulkowski recovered from 37%57 points · 3 games