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07 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1390
0-3Final setsAdamus won
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1508
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 62%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Adamus favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 76.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Adamus −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Adamus −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Adamus.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 40% → final 7%
Mariusz Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts54 points · 3 games