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07 Oct · 06:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1341
3-2Final setsWisniewski won
BWBlazej Warpas
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1371
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warpas at 57%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Blazej Warpas favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 76.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Blazej Warpas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Blazej Warpas −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Blazej Warpas.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 39% → final 97%
Blazej Warpas ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsWisniewski recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games