Rafal Idaczyk vs Mariusz Adamus — TT Elite Series

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07 Oct · 06:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk

ELO 1468

3-2Final setsIdaczyk won

🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus

ELO 1508

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 56%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 3-2 — the underdog won.

Rafal Idaczyk — profile →Mariusz Adamus — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Idaczyk favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 74.5

89 points played

Over

Set handicap

Idaczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Idaczyk −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.85

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Adamus.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 40% → final 2%

Mariusz Adamus ▼

Biggest swing 63 ptsAdamus recovered from 35%70 points · 4 games