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07 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1341
1-3Final setsSulkowski won
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1535
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 70%. The actual result was Bartosz Sulkowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 72.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Sulkowski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Sulkowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 32% → final 87%
Bartosz Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsWisniewski recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games