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← TT Elite Series predictions
07 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1499
2-3Final setsNiemiec won
RNRafal Niemiec
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1577
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 57%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 78.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Niemiec −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Rafal Niemiec.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 39% → final 4%
Rafal Niemiec ▼
Biggest swing 91 ptsNiemiec recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games