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07 Oct · 09:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1660
3-2Final setsKapik won
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1750
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wloczko at 59%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kapik favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 72.5
114 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kapik −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Wloczko.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 44% → final 21%
Krzysztof Wloczko ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsWloczko recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games