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DeuceLab
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← TT Elite Series predictions
07 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1618
2-3Final setsPoliniewicz won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1647
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 78.5
114 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 53% → final 23%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games