7 Oct · 18:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1634
FormLWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zelezik
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1515
FormLWWWL
63%
37%
🌟Lewczuk covers set handicap as underdog 64% (74)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)