7 Oct · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1514
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1620
FormWWLWW
38%
62%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H64-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-29)