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← TT Elite Series predictions
07 Oct · 12:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RNRafal Niemiec
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1586
3-0Final setsNiemiec won
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1481
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 59%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.48
Favourite won
Set handicap
Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 63% → final 96%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsNiemiec recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games