7 Oct · 15:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1755
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wloczko
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1647
FormWWLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H51-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-38)