7 Oct · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1586
FormWWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Niemiec
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1481
FormLWLWL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sokolowski🌟Niemiec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)