Wojciech Urban vs Rafal Niemiec — TT Elite Series

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07 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Wojciech Urban

ELO 1538

3-2Final setsUrban won

🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec

ELO 1591

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 57%. The actual result was Wojciech Urban 3-2 — the underdog won.

Wojciech Urban — profile →Rafal Niemiec — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Total 76.5

103 points played

Over

Set handicap

Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Niemiec −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.95

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Urban is favoured to win, below means Rafal Niemiec.

▲ Wojciech Urbanpre 46% → final 4%

Rafal Niemiec ▼

Biggest swing 54 ptsNiemiec recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games