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07 Oct · 16:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1271
3-2Final setsSuchecki won
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1341
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 58%. The actual result was Waclaw Suchecki 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waclaw Suchecki is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Waclaw Sucheckipre 38% → final 88%
Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsSuchecki recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games