7 Oct · 20:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1563
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krupa
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1498
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H10-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)