7 Oct · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1435
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ruszkiewicz
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1504
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 6% (17)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)