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← TT Elite Series predictions
07 Oct · 18:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1356
3-1Final setsKowalczyk won
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1257
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 59%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 73.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Waclaw Suchecki.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 63% → final 98%
Waclaw Suchecki ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games