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07 Oct · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1653
3-1Final setsWarzecha won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1478
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 72%. The actual result was Miroslaw Warzecha 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Warzecha favoured — closing 1.27
Favourite won
Total 71.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Warzecha −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Warzecha −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Warzecha is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Miroslaw Warzechapre 71% → final 99%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 29 pts72 points · 4 games