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07 Oct · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1536
3-2Final setsKoczyba won
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1485
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Koczyba favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 73.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Koczyba −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Adam Ruszkiewicz.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 49% → final 98%
Adam Ruszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKoczyba recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games