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07 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1523
3-2Final setsKoczyba won
SKSebastian Krupa
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1568
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krupa at 56%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Krupa.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 40% → final 99%
Sebastian Krupa ▼
Biggest swing 91 ptsKoczyba recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games