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07 Oct · 20:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TWTomasz Wrzalik
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1442
3-2Final setsWrzalik won
WPWojciech Pytlas
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1495
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pytlas at 57%. The actual result was Tomasz Wrzalik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Pytlas favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Pytlas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Pytlas −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomasz Wrzalik is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Pytlas.

▲ Tomasz Wrzalikpre 39% → final 75%
Wojciech Pytlas ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsWrzalik recovered from 22%72 points · 5 games