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07 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1331
3-2Final setsMrugala won
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1237
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Suchecki at 50%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mrugala favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mrugala −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Waclaw Suchecki.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 54% → final 11%
Waclaw Suchecki ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsSuchecki recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games