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08 Oct · 02:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1548
3-0Final setsKoczyba won
TWTomasz Wrzalik
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1451
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 71%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 72.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Wrzalik.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 70% → final 99%
Tomasz Wrzalik ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts53 points · 3 games