8 Oct · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1647
FormLLWLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Warzecha
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1391
FormWWLLW
76%
24%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+256
H2H61-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+256)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-10)