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08 Oct · 04:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1342
3-0Final setsSulkowski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1338
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wisniewski at 53%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Karol Sulkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Karol Sulkowski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 50% → final 96%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts66 points · 3 games