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08 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1275
3-2Final setsCesarz won
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 78%. The actual result was Milosz Cesarz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.18
Upset
Total 73.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
7.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gumulinski.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 18% → final 70%
Piotr Gumulinski ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsCesarz recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games