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08 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1658
3-2Final setsJendrzejewski won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1643
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 51%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 79.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 47% → final 99%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsJendrzejewski recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games