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08 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1275
1-3Final setsKurek won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1527
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 76%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 70.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 25% → final 0%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts69 points · 4 games