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08 Oct · 06:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JLJakub Lamperski
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1554
1-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1303
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lamperski at 77%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lamperski favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 72.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lamperski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lamperski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Lamperski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Jakub Lamperskipre 81% → final 47%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 45 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 14%61 points · 4 games