8 Oct · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1384
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1414
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Glanowski covers set handicap as underdog 66% (59)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H10-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.